
In 2026, the precious metals market faced one of its most dramatic sell-offs in months as both gold and silver prices plunged sharply across both global and Indian exchanges. As the US-Iran War has intensified, the global markets have faced severe volatility, and the gold and silver prices have crashed.
Key Takeaways:
The first quarter of 2026 has become a turbulent period for precious metals, as both gold and silver experienced sharp swings in prices, leaving investors on edge. On February 1st, gold and silver futures on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) faced a sharp decline. Gold prices fell by ₹ 9,100 per 10 grams.
Thus, it can be stated that there have been heavy downsides in the prices of gold and silver in the Indian market. This blog will look into the factors that are driving the sell-off.
On Monday, 23rd March, 2026, the Indian stock market witnessed a gap-down opening, owing to the escalating US-Iran war, as it rattled global markets. On this day, as per a Mint study, Sensex tanked 1974.5 points, which is 2.64% lower than the intraday low of 72,558.44, while Nifty tanked 636 points or 2.75% to 22,478.
In the Indian market context, gold and silver prices declined more than 3% as the escalation of the US-Iran war led to expectations of higher global interest rates. As a result, on the MCX, gold has experienced a major downturn, as it crashed over 5% to less than ₹1.45 lakh per 10 grams, according to a Moneycontrol report.
Alternatively, silver has crashed 9% to ₹2.25 lakh amid a significant fall in the value of the rupee compared to the dollar, and major spikes in crude oil prices. This significant drop has followed the rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which have caused investors to flee from investing in precious metals.
Gold and silver exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have also plunged up to 14% on Friday, 20th March, as investors observed a sharp retreat, causing them to rush to book profits. What is interesting is that before this sharp downfall, January observed a major surge in silver prices, with a 56% jump. Meanwhile, gold had registered its largest monthly gain in January since 1980, rising more than 20% in dollar terms.
Furthermore, as the losses began, silver-focused ETFs led the trend more so than gold. Zerodha Silver ETF and SBI Silver ETF recorded 14% drops. Gold ETFs also slipped, recording a 10% drop by Nippon India Gold ETF, and ICICI Prudential Gold ETF lost 6%. This has further led to investors claiming that gold and silver have shown extremely high volatility, especially due to a major drop-off after record high levels in January.
So, how have the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East impacted the massive sell-offs of precious metals? The escalating US-Iran war has significantly increased volatility in safe-haven assets, contributing to a rapid sell-off.
However, is that the only reason for the sell-off? Let’s look into the primary responsible elements in detail:
As of March 23rd, 2026, the value of the rupee fell to an all-time low of 93.86 against the US Dollar. This has signified the US Dollar becoming stronger, which has made precious metals more expensive for Indian buyers. It can be attributed to fears of a global economic disruption, which has been led by the geopolitical crisis.
The retaliatory threats from Iran in the Middle East conflict have led to crashes in stocks and a tumble in the demand for safe-haven assets. Thus, the nature of the US-Iran conflict has caused a global economic disruption, leading to a rise in the value of the US Dollar.
Other than the conflict and the increasing value of the dollar, the sharp rise in Crude oil prices saw a sharp rise, that has also been a major cause behind the sharp drop in the value of gold and silver. This followed the US President Donald Trump’s 48-hour ultimatum to Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz or face decimation of its energy infrastructure.
Crude oil prices shot up by about 55% more than the rate of the previous month, as the U.S. crude oil gained 0.9% to reach US$ 99.15 per barrel. This rise in crude oil prices has worked as an inflationary catalyst, driving up the demand for gold and silver as a hedge against currency devaluation. It can also be a catalyst for fear of aggressive interest rate hikes, strengthening the US dollar, capping gold and silver gains, and creating a short-term selling pressure.
As of March 23, 2026, gold and silver prices in the Indian economy have observed a major crash. This can be attributed to multiple intersecting forces, such as rising global interest rates, a stronger US dollar, geopolitical tensions, and high crude oil prices. These concerns have been the major driving forces behind the sharp crash in gold and silver prices in the Indian market.
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The main reason why gold and silver are vulnerable to economic crises is the fear of adverse impacts. In this case, the fear of extreme interest rate hikes has led to investors selling everything to secure cash. Thus, damaging non-yielding assets such as gold and silver.
While many investors have considered this crash a temporary correction, the sharpness of the downturn may suggest otherwise. This can be considered a 40-year worst crash, meaning that it might take some time for the prices to recover.
The crisis has done significant damage to the reputation of gold and silver as high-performing safe-haven assets. Essentially, the crash caused gold to fail to function as a safe haven. Silver, having crashed even harder, has had a more adverse impact on its safe-haven position.
Despite the crash, gold is still expected to retain its long-term relevance as a high-value asset. While this crash implies there might be some time taken to rectify the situation, a systematic plan to buy more gold can be advantageous in the long run.